unpredictability remains the hallmark of Osun politics – By Jamiu Raji
As the 2026 Osun State governorship election approaches, the political atmosphere is getting hotter as party primaries get closer, with high stakes for all parties involved. Incumbent Governor Ademola Adeleke of the PDP is positioning himself for another four-year term, promising continuity and building on his administration’s achievements. But there seems to be no light at the other side of the tunnel for him to Contest under PDP.
For Adeleke, popularity is only part of the equation. Analysts note that voters are now scrutinizing leadership track records more than ever, demanding tangible results in infrastructure, education, healthcare, and job creation. Adeleke’s campaign is therefore emphasizing his administration’s successes while crafting a vision that resonates with a broad spectrum of Osun citizens.
Meanwhile, the APC faces a critical moment. With former Governor Gboyega Oyetola still influential in the party, APC strategists are preparing to field a candidate who can reclaim the state. Party insiders say the focus is on mobilizing grassroots support and leveraging political machinery, but they acknowledge the challenge posed by an increasingly competitive and fragmented electorate.
Adding a twist to the political narrative, former APC stalwart and ex-Governor Rauf Aregbesola is charting a new course through the African Democratic Congress (ADC). His entry introduces a credible third force, drawing supporters seeking an alternative to the traditional PDP–APC rivalry. Aregbesola’s strategy centers on youth empowerment, inclusive governance, and tackling long-standing local issues, aiming to disrupt the conventional two-party dominance.
Political observers argue that ADC’s rise could be a game changer, particularly in Osun’s West Senatorial Districts, where Aregbesola’s influence remains strong. For the electorate, this development presents a fresh choice and a potential balancing force against entrenched party interests.
Despite the challenges, the incumbent Governor of is not sitting idle. Recent surveys suggest that Adeleke still commands significant loyalty, particularly in urban strongholds. Party loyalists are confident that a well orchestrated campaign highlighting achievements and a forward looking agenda could neutralize the opposition’s momentum.
Yet, unpredictability remains the hallmark of Osun politics. The electorate is savvy and increasingly issue driven, meaning that campaign strategies must be nimble and responsive. Whether voters will prioritize continuity under Adeleke, a revival under APC, or a fresh direction under ADC, remains uncertain.
The 2026 governorship race is shaping up as a defining moment for Osun. Adeleke seeks to solidify his legacy, APC and immediate former Governor, Isiak Gboyega Oyetola aims to reclaim lost ground, and Aregbesola is poised to redefine the political landscape. Whoever clinches the governorship will not just secure power but also shape the trajectory of Osun State for years to come.
